Wednesday, October 14, 2026 · Played it? Here's how rare each one really was.
Class of 2028, the last year Harvard published full numbers.
1 in about 28 applicants 3.59%
Harvard admitted 1,937 of 54,008 applicants, 3.59%. It has stopped releasing these numbers publicly since then.
Fun fact: That's a little easier than rolling snake eyes (1 in 36). The catch: you only get one roll a year.
Source: Harvard Gazette (March 2024)
A plus handicap: better than 0.0. US data from 2020.
1 in about 54 golfers 1.85%
USGA handicap data showed 1.85% of men had a plus handicap. For women it was 0.69%, about 1 in 145.
Fun fact: In a 144-player field of everyday golfers, only 2 or 3 would play better than scratch.
The top two ranks. June 2026 (V26 Act 3), all regions.
1 in about 67 players 1.50%
1.50% of ranked players were Immortal or above (1.47% Immortal, 0.03% Radiant).
Fun fact: Even across a 10-player lobby, the chance that anyone is Immortal or higher would be only about 14% if players were picked at random.
A fair coin, 10 flips.
1 in 1,024 tries 0.098%
Each flip halves the chance: 2 × 2 × … ten times.
Fun fact: Fill a 50,000-seat stadium and have everyone flip 10 coins: about 49 people would get all heads.
Source: Math: 2¹⁰ = 1,024
Everyone who has crossed the 100 km Karman line, compared with the 8.3 billion people alive today.
1 in 11,126,005 people less than 0.0001%
At least 746 people from 52 countries had been to space by October 2026, against about 8.3 billion people alive.
Fun fact: Line up everyone alive and you'd pass about 11 million people for every one who has been to space. Only 52 countries have ever sent anyone.
Source: Al Jazeera (Oct 2026)