Tuesday, October 13, 2026 · Played it? Here's how rare each one really was.
A 5-card hand: no pair, straight or flush.
1 in 2 hands 50.1%
Half of all hands are nothing: 1,302,540 of 2,598,960, or 50.1%.
Fun fact: Junk hands outnumber everything else combined. If you feel like you never get anything, the math is on your side.
Source: Wikipedia: Poker probability
Standard IQ scale: average 100, standard deviation 15.
1 in about 44 people 2.27%
130 is two standard deviations above average, which puts you in the top 2.3%. Mensa's entry bar is the top 2%, so this is roughly Mensa level.
Fun fact: In a lecture hall of 300 random people, about 7 would score 130 or more.
Your two starting cards are both aces.
1 in 221 starting hands 0.45%
There are 1,326 possible two-card starting hands, and 6 of them are a pair of aces.
Fun fact: Get 30 hands an hour and you'd see them about once every 7 hours. Two 7s, or any other specific pair, is exactly as rare.
Source: Wikipedia: Poker probability
The top rank. June 2026 (V26 Act 3), all regions.
1 in 3,333 players 0.03%
0.03% of ranked players were Radiant. For comparison, Gold was the most common tier at 22.4%.
Fun fact: Fill a 20,000-seat arena with ranked Valorant players and about 6 would be Radiant, while about 4,500 would be Gold.
Pick 6 numbers from 1 to 58; all 6 must match.
1 in 40,475,358 tickets less than 0.0001%
There are 40,475,358 ways to choose 6 numbers from 58, and one ticket covers one of them.
Fun fact: One ticket a day would take about 110,000 years on average to win. It has only 16 more balls than a 6-from-42 game, yet it's 7.7 times harder.
Source: Math: 58 choose 6 = 40,475,358