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Raredle No. 17: the answers

Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · Played it? Here's how rare each one really was.

What are the odds of a bag of the world's coffee this season being Robusta, not Arabica?

World production, coffee year 2025/26 (ICO estimate, Sept 2026).

1 in 2.3 bags 43.1%

The ICO estimates Robusta at 43.1% of world output in 2025/26: 79.2 of 183.6 million 60-kg bags.

Fun fact: That's 79.2 million sacks of Robusta. The whole season's surplus, 3 million bags, is less than one week of world coffee drinking.

Source: International Coffee Organization, Coffee Market Report (Sept 2026)

What are the odds of you being born between 9am and 5pm on a weekday?

5.1 million births in NHS maternity units in England, 2005 to 2014 (PLOS ONE study).

1 in 3.5 babies 28.5%

The study found 71.5% of births happen outside 9am to 4:59pm on weekdays, leaving 28.5% inside.

Fun fact: Office hours are about 24% of the week, so that's only a bit above chance. Spontaneous births peak at around 4am.

Source: PA report on the PLOS ONE study, Jersey Evening Post (June 2018)

What are the odds of you not reading any book, even partly, in the past year?

US adults, Pew Research survey, Jan to Feb 2021. Print, e-book or audiobook.

1 in 4.4 adults 23.0%

23% of US adults said they hadn't read a book in whole or in part in the past year.

Fun fact: In a room of 30 American adults, expect about 7 who didn't get through even part of a book all year.

Source: Pew Research Center (Sept 2021)

What are the odds of your US domestic flight being cancelled?

US reporting airlines, full year 2024.

1 in about 71 flights 1.40%

US reporting carriers had a cancellation rate of 1.4% in 2024, up from 1.3% in 2023.

Fun fact: A delay is far more likely: only 78.1% of flights arrived on time, so about 1 in 4.6 were late.

Source: US Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Air Travel Consumer Report (full year 2024)

What are the odds of you being born on a Friday the 13th?

Assumes births are spread evenly across all days of the Gregorian calendar.

1 in 212 people 0.47%

Over the 400-year Gregorian cycle of 146,097 days, 688 are a Friday the 13th.

Fun fact: Friday the 13th comes around 1.72 times a year on average. Every year has at least one and never more than three.

Source: Math: 146,097 ÷ 688 days in the 400-year calendar cycle