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Raredle No. 14: the answers

Sunday, October 25, 2026 · Played it? Here's how rare each one really was.

What are the odds of winning the car in the Monty Hall game by switching doors?

3 doors, 1 car. The host always opens a goat door, then you switch.

1 in 1.5 games 66.7%

Your first pick is right only 1/3 of the time. Whenever it's wrong, switching wins, so switching wins 2/3.

Fun fact: Sticking with your first door wins just 1 in 3. Switching doubles your chances.

Source: Math: 1 − 1/3 = 2/3

What are the odds of a banana grown on Earth being a Cavendish?

Share of world banana production, 1998 to 2000 average (FAO).

1 in 2.1 bananas 46.9%

FAO puts the Cavendish group at 47% of global banana production.

Fun fact: Only about 26% of the Cavendish crop is exported, yet almost every banana traded between countries is a Cavendish.

Source: FAO, The World Banana Economy 1985–2002

What are the odds of you having at least one tattoo?

US adults, Pew Research survey, July 2023.

1 in 3.1 adults 32.0%

32% of US adults have a tattoo, including 22% with more than one.

Fun fact: In a room of 30 American adults, expect about 10 with a tattoo and 7 with more than one. About a quarter of them regret at least one.

Source: Pew Research Center (Aug 2023)

What are the odds of you being born at home rather than in a hospital?

Maternities in England, 2022.

1 in about 53 babies 1.90%

1.9% of maternities in England in 2022 were at home, down from 2.5% in 2021.

Fun fact: A school year of 1,000 English kids born then would include about 19 home births. In Wales it was 2.3%, about 1 in 43.

Source: ONS, Birth characteristics in England and Wales: 2022

What are the odds of a random stranger's face unlocking your iPhone with Face ID?

Apple's stated false-match odds for Face ID. Excludes twins and kids under 13.

1 in 1,000,000 strangers 0.0001%

Apple says the chance a random person could unlock your iPhone with Face ID is about 1 in 1,000,000.

Fun fact: Touch ID, the fingerprint sensor, is 1 in 50,000, so your face is 20 times harder to fake. Apple warns the odds are higher for twins and look-alike siblings.

Source: Apple, Face ID Security guide (Nov 2017)